{"id":94,"date":"2006-12-22T22:36:00","date_gmt":"2006-12-23T02:36:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/alanrhoda.net\/wordpress\/?p=94"},"modified":"2006-12-22T22:36:00","modified_gmt":"2006-12-23T02:36:00","slug":"foreknowledge-free-will-and-the-modal-fallacy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/alanrhoda.net\/wordpress\/2006\/12\/foreknowledge-free-will-and-the-modal-fallacy\/","title":{"rendered":"Foreknowledge, Free Will, and &#8220;The Modal Fallacy&#8221;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In his <span style=\"font-style: italic;\">Internet Encyclopedia of Philosophy<\/span> article entitled <a href=\"http:\/\/www.iep.utm.edu\/f\/foreknow.htm\">&#8220;Foreknowledge and Free Will,&#8221;<\/a> Norman Swartz defends the view that divine foreknowledge is compatible with human free will and contends that arguments for incompatibilism inevitably commit a certain modal fallacy. I think he&#8217;s wrong on both counts, but I want to focus here just on the second claim.<\/p>\n<p>First, I need to clarify that &#8216;free will&#8217; is to be understood in the libertarian (indeterminist) sense and that &#8216;divine foreknowledge&#8217; is to be understood as the view that God from the beginning infallibly knew of every possible state of affairs S and of every moment of time T, either that S will obtain at T or that S will not obtain at T.<\/p>\n<p>Now, what is this &#8220;modal fallacy&#8221; that Swartz makes so much of? Basically, it&#8217;s the inference from &#8220;Necessarily, if p then q&#8221; to &#8220;If p then, necessarily, q.&#8221; In other words,<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Nec(If p then q)<br \/>\u2234 If then Nec(q)<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>This is indeed a modal fallacy. That p entails q and that p happens to be true, does not imply that q is necessarily true, i.e., true in all possible worlds. The relevance of this fallacy to the foreknowledge-free will debate lies in the thought that the incompatibilist argues as follows:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Necessarily, if God knows that S will obtain at T, then S will obtain at T.<\/li>\n<li>God knows that S will obtain at T.<\/li>\n<li>Therefore, necessarily, S will obtain at T.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>And, indeed, if the incompatibilist were limited to arguing in this fashion, Swartz&#8217;s charge that she must commit a modal fallacy would be right on target. But to suppose that the incompatibilist is limited to arguing in this fashion is quite uncharitable. For one thing, the incompatibilist doesn&#8217;t need to show that S&#8217;s obtaining at T is <span style=\"font-style: italic;\">logically necessary<\/span>, but only that it must be <span style=\"font-style: italic;\">causally necessary<\/span> (or unpreventable) if foreknown by God. The following argument, in other words, is &#8211; if sound &#8211; sufficient to establish the incompatibilist thesis, and it does not commit the modal fallacy identified by Swartz:<\/p>\n<ol start=\"4\">\n<li>Necessarily, if God knows that S will obtain at T, then S will obtain at T.<\/li>\n<li>Unpreventably, God knows that S will obtain at T.<\/li>\n<li>Therefore, unpreventably, S will obtain at T.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>Premise (4) follows from the thesis of divine foreknowledge (understood in the sense defined above) together with God&#8217;s essential omniscience (i.e., the claim that God knows all and only truths in all possible worlds in which God exists). Premise (5) follows from the supposition of divine <span style=\"font-style: italic;\">fore<\/span>-knowledge (i.e., that God knew <span style=\"font-style: italic;\">in the past<\/span> that S was going to obtain at T) together with the plausible claim that the past cannot be altered. From these (6) seems to follow. I should mention, though, that many scholars have challenged premise (5) claiming that God&#8217;s past noetic states are not unpreventable &#8220;hard facts&#8221; but rather &#8220;soft facts&#8221; that depend for their content on what happens in the future. I think this objection is misguided, but I&#8217;ll set that aside. My point here is simply that incompatibilist arguments need not commit the modal fallacy described by Swartz.<\/p>\n<p>One last point. We have seen, the incompatibilist can avoid the modal fallacy by invoking in the conclusion a weaker type of necessity than logical necessity. The important point is that there are different modes of necessity, and these are distinguished by their <span style=\"font-style: italic;\">scope<\/span>. Logical necessity has as its scope <span style=\"font-style: italic;\">all logically possible worlds<\/span>. Physical necessity has as its scope <span style=\"font-style: italic;\">all logically possible worlds with the same physical laws as ours<\/span>. Temporal necessity has as its scope <span style=\"font-style: italic;\">all logically possible worlds having the same history up to some specified point<\/span>. Note that types of necessity other than logical necessity add further qualifications or restrictions of scope. One can always validity infer from a broader scope to a narrow scope contained in the broader one. Thus, if something is logically necessary, then it is also physically necessary. But one cannot legitimately infer from a narrower scope to a broader one. This is the problem with the so-called modal fallacy. In the premise<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Nec(If p then q)<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>the type of necessity that pertains to q is not the type of necessity indicated by the operator &#8220;Nec()&#8221; but a necessity of a narrower sort because the antecedent &#8220;if p&#8221; adds a further qualification. Thus, the necessity pertaining to q is what we might call <span style=\"font-style: italic;\">p-necessity<\/span>, which has as its scope <span style=\"font-style: italic;\">all logically possible worlds in which p is true<\/span>. From this we can validly infer<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>If p then p-Nec(q)<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>but not<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>If p then Nec(q)<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>for the latter involves moving from a narrower scope to a broader one.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In his Internet Encyclopedia of Philosophy article entitled &#8220;Foreknowledge and Free Will,&#8221; Norman Swartz defends the view that divine foreknowledge is compatible with human free will and contends that arguments for incompatibilism inevitably commit a certain modal fallacy. I think he&#8217;s wrong on both counts, but I want to focus here just on the second\u2026 <span class=\"read-more\"><a href=\"http:\/\/alanrhoda.net\/wordpress\/2006\/12\/foreknowledge-free-will-and-the-modal-fallacy\/\">Read More &raquo;<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-94","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/alanrhoda.net\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/94","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/alanrhoda.net\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/alanrhoda.net\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/alanrhoda.net\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/alanrhoda.net\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=94"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/alanrhoda.net\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/94\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/alanrhoda.net\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=94"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/alanrhoda.net\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=94"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/alanrhoda.net\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=94"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}